Falcon Trades Weekly Report: Week 30 (July 20-25, 2025)

Past Week Review (July 12-18, 2025)

The week featured a blend of optimism and caution across global markets. US indices achieved new highs on solid economic data, Gulf markets displayed resilience amid regional dynamics, and Indian benchmarks encountered headwinds from trade uncertainties and sector-specific pressures. Volatility was influenced by ongoing US trade policy discussions and oil market fluctuations.

ADX (Abu Dhabi Securities Exchange)

The ADX General Index exhibited steady performance, closing at 10,253 points on July 18 with a 0.10% daily increase and a weekly gain of roughly 1.1%. Momentum was driven by robust activity in financials (up 4.2%) and real estate (up 5.4%), with trading volume hitting 410.4 million shares and turnover reaching AED 1,700.6 million on July 16.

DFM (Dubai Financial Market)

DFM's General Index finished at 5,917 points on July 16, up 0.06% for the day, building on a strong Q1 with average daily trading value surging 67% year-over-year to AED 663 million. The index rose 0.43% weekly as of July 11, supported by turnover of AED 753.1 million and volume of 364.2 million shares.

Notable performers included Sharia-compliant stocks like Dubai Islamic Bank, which advanced 1.68% to AED 1.82, contributing to a 43.21% year-to-date gain. Market cap remained solid at AED 992,742 million despite external volatility.

Tadawul (Saudi Stock Exchange)

The Tadawul All Share Index (TASI) edged down 0.29% to 11,007 points on July 17, pressured by oil oversupply concerns. Trading activity included 255.8 million shares valued at SAR 4.2 billion, with the index down 8.55% year-to-date but up 3.93% month-over-month.

Sectors like insurance and real estate showed strength, with LIVA gaining 9.94%, while energy-related stocks such as TECO dropped 6.45%.

Broader Middle East Markets

Regional indices staged a modest recovery, buoyed by expectations of US rate adjustments and tentative ceasefires. Egypt's EGX30 climbed 0.6% to 33,207 points, Bahrain's BAX rose 0.9%, Saudi Arabia's market advanced 1.2%, and Qatar's QSI gained 0.8%.

Banking sectors led the uptick, offsetting earlier setbacks from US actions against Iranian targets. However, persistent oil supply issues continued to weigh on energy-focused economies.

NASDAQ

The NASDAQ Composite set a new record, closing at 20,884.27 on July 17 with a 0.74% increase, fueled by positive US economic reports and consumer resilience. It added 0.27% on July 14 to reach 20,640.33, with airline stocks rallying after Delta's strong earnings.

Tech heavyweights like Nvidia and Microsoft propelled gains, achieving records in six of the past seven sessions amid a 4.2% broader market lift.

Broader US Market

US markets maintained upward momentum, with the S&P 500 advancing 0.5% to a record 6,311 points on July 18, including a 0.22% daily rise. The Dow Jones Industrial Average increased 0.5% (230 points) weekly, supported by favorable retail sales data and reduced jobless claims.

Corporate earnings outperformed, with 88% of S&P 500 companies beating expectations, highlighted by successes from PepsiCo and United Airlines.

Indian Market

Indian benchmarks faced challenges, with the Nifty 50 closing at 25,111.45 on July 17, down 0.4% daily and 0.81% weekly, dipping below 25,000 due to IT sector softness and trade tensions. The BSE Sensex declined 0.45% to 82,259.24, amid foreign investor outflows of Rs 3,694.3 crore.

The RSI at 48.75 indicated neutral momentum, with some resilience in hospitality sectors.