Falcon Trades Weekly: Global Market Pulse (September 7-12, 2025)

The S&P 500 experienced mixed performance, closing mostly sideways at 6,460.26 after touching new highs but giving back gains due to economic concerns; it rose 0.83% on one day to 6,502.08 but fell 0.3% overall amid weak jobs data, with a weekly close reflecting broader worries over unemployment reports.
Nasdaq Composite showed volatility, starting up 0.77% early in the week but ending down 0.8% as AI-related names were dumped; it recorded 105 new highs but slipped amid slowdown fears, closing lower after a prior session drop of 0.8%.
AI and semiconductor sector highlights included Broadcom's strong quarterly report, with shares rocketing on robust AI chip business; semi stocks like ADI and MX grew despite tariffs and geopolitics, while Nvidia and Alphabet were flagged as stocks poised to soar in the second half of 2025.
Overall market sentiment was pressured by weak August payrolls (massive miss) and economic data, leading to declines in S&P (-0.56%) and Nasdaq 100, though AI-driven optimism persisted for select semis.

AI and semiconductor stocks are projected to see robust growth, with global semi revenue reaching $705 billion in 2025 driven by AI demand; stocks like Broadcom could rally further on $10B AI chip deals, potentially exceeding $40B in AI sales for 2026.
Nasdaq and S&P may stall amid AI rally meeting tariff jitters, with S&P expected to end 2025 at 6,300 (a 2.3% dip from current levels); however, UBS raised its S&P target to 6,800 by mid-2026 on AI momentum.
Top AI semi stocks (e.g., not Nvidia) are predicted to soar in September, with Broadcom and others leading; market outlook emphasizes undervalued opportunities post-rally, with semiconductors as a linchpin amid Fed rate cuts.
Seven best-performing semi stocks for September include AVGO and NVDA, buoyed by AI; overall, expect volatility but strength in equities longer-term, with AI stocks facing a 'show me' moment post-Nvidia earnings.

UAE markets (ADX and DFM) remained resilient amid August turbulence, with combined market cap at Dh4.1 trillion; ADX fell 0.17% to 10,034 points, while DFM showed stability with no major declines reported.
Saudi Tadawul rose 0.34% to 10,656 points, with TASI up 36.51 points; overall Gulf markets dipped on weak oil but showed moderate breadth, with 56% of MSCI World countries above 200-day averages.
IPO activity was strong in Q2 with $2.4B raised across 12 listings; Saudi firms led regional raises at $2.8B in H1, though Tadawul-listed companies (ex-Aramco) saw Q2 net profit fall 8% to SAR 38.29B.
Undiscovered gems highlighted for September, with Gulf indices retreating on oil weakness but investors eyeing recovery ahead of U.S. jobs data.

Gulf markets may recover with indices gaining ahead of U.S. jobs data; undiscovered gems and penny stocks in focus, with Saudi and Dubai retreating but poised for rebound on oil stabilization.
GCC IPO outlook remains promising post-Q2 $2.4B raises; Middle East equities expected to advance despite conflicts, with non-oil projects in Saudi and UAE gathering momentum.
Tadawul may need more than foreign money for rises, with busy IPO pipeline; overall 2025 outlook strong, with $25B sustainable bond issuance forecast led by UAE and Saudi.
Expect volatility but strength, with ADX/DFM closed Sep 5 for holiday but reopening Sep 8; broader ME growth at 2.9% in 2025 amid oil unwinding.

BSE Sensex closed flat to down, slipping 0.01% to 80,710.76 on Sep 5 after volatile sessions; it dropped 207 points on Sep 2 to 80,008.50 low, with broader market underperforming (MIDCAP -3.30%, SMALLCAP -3.86%).
NSE Nifty 50 ended up 0.03% at 24,741 but saw marginal gains (0.08% to 24,734.30 on Sep 4); high volatility in August with recovery early but overall flat close amid profit booking.
Auto gains offset IT/FMCG losses; Sensex down 368 pts on Aug 12 (earlier context), but weekly streak of losses ended with flat performance; August saw high volatility post-recovery.
Markets open Sep 5 (no holiday), with 2,491 advances vs. 1,372 declines on Sep 3; Nifty up 0.5% to 24,550 on Sep 1.

Nifty outlook for Sep 8 positive, with NIFTY BANK up 0.07% to 54,114.55; expect higher open on upbeat global cues, though volatility persists.
Weekly prediction (Sep 1-5 context extends): Nifty India Digital -2.28%, Metals -2.35%; broader outlook for Sep 1-5 suggests consolidation, with Sensex/Nifty likely flat to up on GST-driven momentum.
U.S. tariffs may shake markets, with April 2025 volatility as precedent; November 2025 outlook highlights sector declines like Industrial Gases -15.6%.
Sensex could reach 78,500 by mid-2025; Nifty prediction Sep 1: uptick but barriers ahead; no holidays post-Sep 5.

Global crypto market cap at $3.91T, down -0.15% daily but up 97.81% yearly; Bitcoin at $110,724 (-0.88% daily, +5.9% weekly for some alts like BCH), Ethereum market cap ~$528B-$537B.
Ethereum spot volume hit $480B in August, surpassing Bitcoin's $401B; ETH prices from $3,611 (Aug 5) to $4,390 (Aug 31), with DEX volume record $140.1B.
Market mixed: BTC/ETH highs, altcoins/DeFi surged; Fear & Greed at 41 neutral; BTC dominance 54.84%, ETH 12.87%; BTC correction only 14%, smart money shifting to ETH.
ETF flows: BTC +$300.5M inflows, ETH -$38.2M outflows; liquidations $228M; Cardano up 140% yearly; market doldrums with majors red except BTC struggling.

Bitcoin/Ethereum/XRP may hold steady amid 'red September'; BTC gains uncertain with slump possible, but poll shows 56% expect positive finish; dominance could return as traders await Fed.
ETH realistic end-2025: $10K or crash? Upgrades signal bull; predictions: BTC >$200K, ETH/SOL new ATHs; altseason possible in Sep with favorable macro.
Top 10 cryptos by market cap lean bullish with BTC >$118K, ETH recovery; 14% non-owners plan 2025 entry; BTC to $120K if conditions hold.
Bearish warnings for Sep, but OI near ATH primes next leg up; ETH foundation sell 10K ETH may pressure, but institutional rotation to alts/ETH expected.

Global Market Pulse